Community Ad-Free Fund $5.00 / $10.00 Every $10.00 adds 24 market-open ad-free hours for everyone. Funded hours stack.
Chip in

USD/CAD Live Forex Pair Analysis

USD/CAD is currently showing a bullish dashboard bias with 59 pip ADR. This page combines price context, trend, volatility, rate differential, seasonality, correlations, calendar risk, and methodology links for repeat pair analysis.

1.42119
+0.06%
Score
+5
Daily Range
22 pips
ADR (14)
59 pips
USD/CAD Pair Snapshot
MARKET DATA: Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT

USD/CAD quotes the US Dollar against the Canadian Dollar. A rising USD/CAD rate means USD is strengthening versus CAD; a falling rate means CAD is gaining on USD. The current Forex Vitals read is Bullish, with Broad upside alignment and New York session focus.

Live bid 1.42119 +0.06% session change
Dashboard bias Bullish Score +5/15
Volatility 22 pips ADR 59 pips
Strength spread -6.6 USD minus CAD strength
Rate delta 0.85% USD has the positive rate differential
Trend breadth 3 up / 1 down Across H1, H4, D, W, M
Best watch window New York Use session context before chasing moves
S/R state NO ACTIVE LEVEL TEST Dashboard support/resistance model
Pair class Major forex pair Educational market context only
Dashboard Support & Resistance
FROM DASHBOARD STRUCTURE MODEL
NO ACTIVE LEVEL TEST

No active support/resistance test is flagged. Current structure is between support at 1.38966 and resistance at 1.42486.

Support 1.38966 315.3 pips from current price
Resistance 1.42486 36.7 pips from current price
📚 Recommended reading

Want to keep learning beyond the tool?
Browse our Forex Book Library for the best picks across risk management, price action, fundamentals, and psychology.

Browse the Forex Book Library →
Market Analysis & Outlook
UPDATED: Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT

Direct answer: USD / CAD is a Major forex pair where one USD is priced in CAD. The Forex Vitals dashboard currently reads Bullish with a continuation score of 5/15 and a server-side price snapshot of 1.42119.

Currency strength spread: USD is -6.6 points versus CAD on the Forex Vitals strength model. Positive spread favors the base currency; negative spread favors the quote currency.

Volatility: Today's range is 22 pips against a 14-day ADR of 59 pips. Volatility is inside its recent average range.

Seasonality: Historically, July has been constructive for USD / CAD, with a 65% directional win rate and +0.54% average change.

How to Interpret USD/CAD

What moves USD/CAD?

USD/CAD is driven by the relative strength of the US Dollar and Canadian Dollar. Watch Federal Reserve versus Bank of Canada expectations, inflation surprises, labor data, commodity exposure, and broad risk sentiment.

How to read volatility

Current range context: 22 pips today vs 59 ADR. A high ADR reading can mean momentum is active, but it can also mean the pair is extended.

Session behavior

USD/CAD is most naturally watched during the New York session, with extra attention around overlapping global liquidity. Compare live moves with London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney activity before judging follow-through.

Correlation risks

Check the correlation table before stacking trades. Highly correlated positions can turn several separate entries into one oversized currency or risk-sentiment bet.

Macro Driver Checklist
  • USD driver: Fed policy, Treasury yields, CPI, PCE, jobs data, and risk appetite
  • CAD driver: BoC policy, crude oil, US demand, inflation, and jobs data
  • Carry context: USD has the positive rate differential at the current cached policy-rate snapshot.
  • Session context: USD/CAD is most naturally watched during the New York session, with extra attention around overlapping global liquidity.
  • Risk control: Confirm stop distance, lot size, and correlation exposure before treating the pair context as a trade plan.
Economic Calendar
TIME CUR EVENT IMPACT ACT / EST / PREV
Jul 7, 05:15 USD ADP Employment Change Weekly HIGH - / - / 30.75K
Jul 7, 05:30 USD Balance of Trade MEDIUM - / $-78.0B / $-55.9B
Jul 7, 05:30 USD Imports MEDIUM - / $394.0B / $383.0B
Jul 7, 05:30 USD Exports MEDIUM - / $314.0B / $327.1B
Jul 7, 05:30 CAD Balance of Trade MEDIUM - / C$2.7B / C$2.72B
Jul 7, 07:00 CAD Ivey PMI s.a HIGH - / 59.1 / 58.2
Jul 7, 13:30 USD API Crude Oil Stock Change MEDIUM - / - / -6.072M
About USD/CAD

US Dollar (USD)

Central Bank:
Nickname:
Greenback
Key Driver:
Fed policy, Treasury yields, CPI, PCE, jobs data, and risk appetite
Interest Rate:
3.1%
Strength:
-0.7

Canadian Dollar (CAD)

Central Bank:
Nickname:
Loonie
Key Driver:
BoC policy, crude oil, US demand, inflation, and jobs data
Interest Rate:
2.25%
Strength:
+5.9
Data Sources & Trust Notes
PAGE MODIFIED: Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT
Dashboard pair row (score and S/R) Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT
Live price cache Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT
Volatility and ADR cache Jul 7, 2026 03:50 PDT
Trend structure cache Jul 7, 2026 03:52 PDT
Daily Fibonacci structure Jul 7, 2026 03:52 PDT
Seasonality cache Jul 6, 2026 14:15 PDT
Interest-rate cache Jul 7, 2026 00:00 PDT
Correlation cache Jul 7, 2026 00:00 PDT
Economic-calendar cache Jul 7, 2026 03:53 PDT
News RSS cache Jun 29, 2026 20:31 PDT
Editorial review Forex Vitals policy
Market data note: Exchange rates and derived analytics are sourced from third-party pricing data and processed by Forex Vitals. Rates are indicative, may be delayed or unavailable, and can differ from executable broker prices.
Quick Q&A
What is USD/CAD?
USD/CAD is the US Dollar versus the Canadian Dollar. The quote tells you how many CAD are needed to buy one USD.
What is the current Forex Vitals bias for USD/CAD?
The current Forex Vitals dashboard bias for USD/CAD is Bullish with a continuation score of 5/15. Treat it as market context, not a trade recommendation.
What is the daily volatility for USD/CAD?
Today's volatility range is 22 pips versus a 14-day ADR of 59 pips.
What are the key support and resistance levels for USD/CAD?
Dashboard resistance is at 1.42486 and dashboard support is at 1.38966. Current structure status: NO ACTIVE LEVEL TEST.
When is the best time to watch USD/CAD?
USD/CAD is most naturally watched during the New York session, with extra attention around overlapping global liquidity.
What should traders check before analyzing USD/CAD?
Check currency strength, multi-timeframe trend, ADR fill, major news, correlation risk, and position size before treating any USD/CAD setup as actionable.
Trend Matrix
H1
H4
D
W
M
ADR Projection Levels
Res 31.42709
Res 21.42484
Res 11.42344
PIVOT1.42119
Sup 11.41894
Sup 21.41754
Sup 31.41529
Projection levels calculated from current price and ADR. Dashboard support/resistance is shown above.
Daily Structure
Swing High1.39670
Swing Low1.35501
61.8% Retr.1.38077
Extension1.34367
Interest Rate Delta
USD (3.1%) CAD (2.25%)
Differential: 0.85%
Seasonality (JUL)
HISTORIC WIN RATE
65%
AVG RETURN
+0.54%
Top Correlations
USD/CHF 0.95
USD/JPY 0.94
EUR/CAD 0.86
GBP/CAD 0.86
EUR/AUD 0.79