JPY
USD/JPY Live Forex Pair Analysis
USD/JPY is currently showing a neutral dashboard bias with 76 pip ADR. This page combines price context, trend, volatility, rate differential, seasonality, correlations, calendar risk, and methodology links for repeat pair analysis.
USD/JPY quotes the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. A rising USD/JPY rate means USD is strengthening versus JPY; a falling rate means JPY is gaining on USD. The current Forex Vitals read is Neutral, with Broad upside alignment and New York and Tokyo session focus.
No active support/resistance test is flagged. Current structure is between support at 155.032 and resistance at 162.840.
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Direct answer: USD / JPY is a Major forex pair where one USD is priced in JPY. The Forex Vitals dashboard currently reads Neutral with a continuation score of -2/15 and a server-side price snapshot of 161.858.
Currency strength spread: USD is -32.3 points versus JPY on the Forex Vitals strength model. Positive spread favors the base currency; negative spread favors the quote currency.
Volatility: Today's range is 53 pips against a 14-day ADR of 76 pips. Volatility is inside its recent average range.
Seasonality: Historically, July has been difficult for USD / JPY, with a 50% directional win rate and -0.25% average change.
What moves USD/JPY?
USD/JPY is driven by the relative strength of the US Dollar and Japanese Yen. Watch Federal Reserve versus Bank of Japan expectations, inflation surprises, labor data, commodity exposure, and broad risk sentiment.
How to read volatility
Current range context: 53 pips today vs 76 ADR. A high ADR reading can mean momentum is active, but it can also mean the pair is extended.
Session behavior
USD/JPY usually deserves extra attention during the New York and Tokyo sessions, especially when liquidity overlaps with London or New York. Compare live moves with London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney activity before judging follow-through.
Correlation risks
Check the correlation table before stacking trades. Highly correlated positions can turn several separate entries into one oversized currency or risk-sentiment bet.
- USD driver: Fed policy, Treasury yields, CPI, PCE, jobs data, and risk appetite
- JPY driver: BoJ policy, JGB yields, safe-haven flows, and global carry demand
- Carry context: USD has the positive rate differential at the current cached policy-rate snapshot.
- Session context: USD/JPY usually deserves extra attention during the New York and Tokyo sessions, especially when liquidity overlaps with London or New York.
- Risk control: Confirm stop distance, lot size, and correlation exposure before treating the pair context as a trade plan.
| TIME | CUR | EVENT | IMPACT | ACT / EST / PREV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 05:15 | USD | ADP Employment Change Weekly | HIGH | 21.0K / - / 30.75K |
| Jul 7, 05:30 | USD | Balance of Trade | MEDIUM | $-77.6B / $-78.5B / $-55.9B |
| Jul 7, 05:30 | USD | Imports | MEDIUM | $395.3B / $394.0B / $383.0B |
| Jul 7, 05:30 | USD | Exports | MEDIUM | $317.7B / $314.0B / $327.1B |
| Jul 7, 13:30 | USD | API Crude Oil Stock Change | MEDIUM | - / -1.5M / -6.072M |
| Jul 7, 16:50 | JPY | Current Account | MEDIUM | - / ¥4121.3B / ¥3907.0B |
US Dollar (USD)
Japanese Yen (JPY)
| Res 3 | 162.618 |
| Res 2 | 162.328 |
| Res 1 | 162.148 |
| PIVOT | 161.858 |
| Sup 1 | 161.568 |
| Sup 2 | 161.388 |
| Sup 3 | 161.098 |
| Swing High | 162.840 |
| Swing Low | 160.480 |
| 61.8% Retr. | 161.938 |
| Extension | 159.838 |